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carried in 2008. >> walk us through some of the shadings here of an election desk making a call. because pennsylvania is so important, why say that it's too early and yet also say that the president has the lead? >> because you get raw vote coming in that gives you an indication of how the state is going. you have exit polls which give you an indication of how the state is going. the people in our decision desk who are very expert at this, very experienced at this, they require a very high level of confidence by matching the exit polls to what they see in key precincts and the actual vote before they're willing to say we won't get a surprise say a huge vote in the western part, more conservative part of pennsylvania for mitt romney overcoming the lead that president obama would develop in philadelphia and counties around philadelphia. they're going to be absolutely certain at an almost 100% confidence level before they'll call any of those states even if a candidate stakes out an early lead. >> thanks very much. we'll come back to you soon. joining us from romney headquarters in boston i
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